According to The Kobeissi Letter, Elon Musk has forecasted a recession in the second half of 2025, while Kalshi places the probability of a recession starting this year at 29% (source: @KobeissiLetter, June 5, 2025). For cryptocurrency traders, these recession predictions highlight potential volatility and risk-off sentiment across digital assets. Historically, recession fears have led to increased Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings as investors seek liquidity and safe havens. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators and market sentiment will be critical for crypto traders aiming to navigate potential downturns and capitalize on volatility.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Elon Musk has forecasted a recession in the second half of 2025, while market prediction platform Kalshi currently puts the odds of a recession in 2024 at 29% (source: @KobeissiLetter, @Kalshi, June 5, 2025). For cryptocurrency traders, heightened recession expectations could trigger increased volatility and defensive positioning across digital assets. Historically, recession fears have led to both risk-off moves and safe-haven flows into assets like Bitcoin, impacting short-term and long-term trading strategies. Monitoring macroeconomic signals and market sentiment will be crucial for crypto market participants as recession discussions intensify.